Seminars

March 5 2014

12:00 LSB 2320

Charles Marshall
Department of Integrative Biology, UC Berkeley and UC Museum of Paleontology

Inferring Ecological Processes and Evolutionary Dynamics from Molecular Phylogenies and the Fossil Record: Some Unexpected Finding (Some Welcome, Some not!) Inferring Ecological Processes and Evolutionary Dynamics from Molecular Phylogenies and the Fossil Record: Some Unexpected Finding (Some Welcome, Some not!)

Summary

Evolutionary dynamics, changes in species richness, are determined by time varying speciation and extinction rates. Ecological processes, such as diversity-dependence in speciation and extinction rates, play a major role in controlling those rates. Part 1 of my talk will review the extent to which molecular phylogenies can be used to determine rates of speciation, and extinction, and to identify diversity dependence. Unfortunately, the absence of extinct species in molecular phylogenies makes it hard to estimate speciation and extinction rates. Nonetheless, they can be used to determine when changes in origination rate have occurred, although it does not seem possible to demonstrate that a drop in origination rate is due to diversity dependence. On the other hand the fossil record, when it is rich (and it can be!), can be used directly to measure time varying origination and extinction rates, as well as diversity dependence. Given these findings, part 2 of the talk consists of the analysis of the evolutionary dynamics of mammalian clades with rich fossil records that are past their peak diversity. Surprisingly, their diversity loss is as much due to a failure to originate as it is increased extinction rate. The origination and extinction rates show diversity dependence, which implies an equilibrium diversity for each group, but it appears that theses clades never settled on their equilibrium diversity: their evolutionary dynamics are fundamentally non-equilibrial.

 

 

 

 

 

 



 

 

 

 

 

 

 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



 



this is idtest: